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Survivor 23: South Pacific
Survivor 23: South Pacific
Premieres: September 14th 2011
| Cast: |
Oscar “Ozzy” Lusth
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
Christine Shields Markoski
Survivor: South Pacific Cast Photo (Minus Coach & Ozzy)
Survivor: South Pacific Full Cast Photo
Latest page update: made by Janellefan06
, Dec 21 2011, 10:52 PM EST
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|Started By||Thread Subject||Replies||Last Post|
|LKR7000||New Book on Survivor||0||Oct 23 2011, 9:32 AM EDT by LKR7000|
|LKR7000||Vote Off The Weak||0||Oct 23 2011, 9:29 AM EDT by LKR7000|
Thread started: Oct 23 2011, 9:29 AM EDT Watch
Tonight the Upolu tribe tackled the classic Survivor pre-merge vote-off dilemma: deciding between protecting your alliance or protecting your strongest players. The issues are thorny – should you vote off non-alliance members even if they are strong physical competitors that could help you win challenges necessary to dominate the opposing tribe after the merge? Or should you vote off weak alliance members even though their loyalty is unquestioned? As you saw in tonight’s game, the opinions were split down the middle.
The history of Survivor favors voting off the weak, even though they may be alliance members. As I noted in my book The Essential Armchair Guidebook to Winning Survivor (Chapter 3 – “Vote Off the Weak”), before the merge, your primary goal should be to protect the size of your tribe. Your chances of winning the game are greatly diminished if your tribe is smaller than the opposing tribe when the merge occurs. More than anything else, you need to win immunity challenges. If you don’t, no alliance can save you from elimination. Just look at the ill-fated Ulong tribe in S:10, which lost every immunity challenge, resulting in its own self-destruction. Jolanda (S:10) was the first person voted off the Ulong tribe for being too bossy and overbearing. But, although she was an irritating teammate, she was physically strong and would have been a dominating contender in the challenges. Her early departure weakened her tribe’s ability to compete. Far better for the tribe to have simply put a muzzle on Jolanda and kept her in the game for a few more rounds.
Lesson: Vote off the weakest players – not the strongest players -- until the tribes merge. I’m not discounting the value of alliance loyalty, but (as in love, business and politics) it can be fickle and illusive. All loyalties have an expiration date in this game, and you don’t know when your confederates may decide it’s time for you to go.
|LKR7000||The Ozzy Pout||0||Oct 23 2011, 9:25 AM EDT by LKR7000|
Thread started: Oct 23 2011, 9:25 AM EDT Watch
Ozzy let the Elyse vote-off rankle him too much, and he let his resentment show. The Savaii tribe was treated to a day of Ozzy pouting until he wisely realized he had no option but to get back in the game. Like a farmer failing to tend his field, he had no one to blame but himself for not cultivating his core alliance. His hasty announcement that he was through with the “alliance way” of playing and was now a “free agent” was very imprudent. You can’t let the turns of the game get to you! When you lose your cool, you lose your focus. Right now Jim has Ozzy’s number – keep him until the merge, then dump him. Ozzy can still regain control, but he has to take care of Jim proactively, because, after all, Jim’s the weapon poised to destroy Ozzy’s future in the game. Unfortunately, I’m less than confident that our pouting player has the strategic savvy to mastermind a blindside vote-off of Jim.
That said, however, here’s my take on how Ozzy – who we know has the hidden immunity idol -- might pull it off through a slickly orchestrated maneuver: 1) When the tribe goes to tribal council again, Ozzy needs to endorse the vote-off consensus of the group (which will probably be spearheaded by Jim). 2) When no one is looking, Ozzy needs to take the vote-off target aside to reveal the intentions of the group. 3) Ozzy then – and this is the real kicker -- needs to give the vote-off target his immunity idol in exchange for that person’s promise to cast his/her vote for Jim. 4) The result? At the tribal council both Ozzy and the target will cast their votes for Jim. The votes cast for the target will be nullified when the target hands over the immunity idol. (Surprise!) And the two votes cast for Jim will send Jim (not Ozzy) to Redemption Island. It’s a risky move, but if Ozzy could pull it off, his stock would rise dramatically, and thousands of Survivor fans would literally and figuratively jump to their feet and applaud his chutzpah!
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